Exorbitant tax structures levied on the country's mobile telecom sector are functioning as a critical barrier to internet connectivity, digital inclusion, and overall economic performance, according to a new comprehensive report.
The research document titled “Bangladesh Can Increase Economic Growth by Lowering Barriers to Digital Connectivity”, prepared by global advisory firm Frontier Economics Limited for digital operator VEON, outlines how rationalising these heavy fiscal constraints could act as a massive catalyst for macroeconomic acceleration and ultimate expansion of the government's tax base.
According to the report, Bangladesh maintains an exceptionally low general tax-to-GDP ratio of 7.6 percent, far below the Asia-Pacific regional average of 20 percent.
Yet, the government relies disproportionately on the mobile telecom ecosystem to generate revenues, subjecting it to penalising tax brackets compared to regional neighbours.
Citing estimates from global telecom body GSMA, Frontier Economics highlighted that total combined taxes, statutory duties, and regulatory fees swallow up a staggering 55 percent of the mobile sector’s entire revenue stream in Bangladesh.
This effectively channels US$ 0.55 of every single dollar earned by mobile operators straight to the national exchequer.
The analysis points out that total sales, usage, and turnover taxes on consumers and operators sum up to a punishing 39 percent (compared to the standard national VAT rate of 15 percent), which balloons to 47 percent of the Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) when factored alongside mandatory revenue sharing mechanisms (5.5 percent), the Social Obligation Fund (1 percent), and minimum turnover thresholds.
Furthermore, corporate profits for non-publicly traded mobile entities are taxed at 45 percent (and 40 percent for publicly traded operators), towering vastly above the baseline corporate tax rate of 22.5 percent to 27.5 percent enforced across other commercial sectors.
The report also takes sharp aim at the fixed Tk 300 tax applied to every new SIM connection. It labels this consumer levy as severely regressive in a "mobile-first" economy where lower-income communities face acute affordability challenges to access basic smartphone data.
The resulting operational squeeze has severely hampered local telecommunication advancement. Despite domestic mobile networks successfully building out a 99 percent population footprint for 4G coverage, operator ARPU has been choked down to a meager $ 1.2 per month.
"Low ARPU and weak smartphone penetration inevitably impact the ability of operators to profitably invest further in their networks—for example, to expand capacity or deploy 5G," the report stated.
Driven by these restricted capital investments, Bangladesh currently logs a modest average mobile download speed of 40 mbps, ranking a lowly 91st out of 105 surveyed nations globally. Currently, only 38 percent of the adult population in Bangladesh own smartphones, leaving millions locked out of the modern digital fold.
Econometric modelling mapped out in the study demonstrates that bringing mobile sector taxes into alignment with general economic benchmarks would deliver compounding fiscal and development returns.
Frontier Economics modelled a scenario where the 20 percent Supplementary Duty is lowered to 5 percent, regulatory revenue sharing drops to 1 percent, and the SIM tax is entirely abolished.
The projections indicate that such reforms will trigger a 4 percent surge in data usage per subscriber and a 5 percent increase in mobile penetration. Most notably, the model shows this digital surge will accelerate Bangladesh’s annual real GDP per capita growth rate from its baseline projection of roughly 6.6 percent up to 7.2 percent.
Addressing the government’s immediate revenue anxieties, the report acknowledges that a localised tax rollback will induce an initial, short-term deficit in sector-specific collections – calculated at approximately $ 761 million in the first year.
However, the firm notes that the structural transformation will be fully self-funding within a brief window. The massive productivity spike in the wider economy will broaden the overarching national tax base, yielding a complete, positive fiscal break-even by the year 2030.
To achieve the long-term socioeconomic benchmarks laid down in the state’s ICT Master Plan and the Smart Bangladesh Vision 2041, the study urges policymaking organs to implement immediate corrective frameworks.
It explicitly recommends rebalancing national tax policy away from sector-specific consumption penalties that artificially inflate consumer data prices, eradicating entry barriers like access charges that keep marginal citizens offline, and explicitly communicating fiscal adjustments as an investment to formalise broader economic activity.
"Reducing these barriers promotes inclusion and expands the user base that later contributes to the wider tax base," the study concluded, emphasising that the temporary fiscal dip remains entirely manageable against the permanent economic dividend.