With a combined $270 million in worldwide ticket sales, âWickedâ and âGladiator IIâ breathed fresh life into a box office that has struggled lately, leading to one of the busiest moviegoing weekends of the year.
Jon M. Chuâs lavish big-budget musical âWicked,â starring Ariana Grande and Cynthia Erivo, debuted with $114 million domestically and $164.2 million globally for Universal Pictures, according to studio estimates Sunday. That made it the third-biggest opening weekend of the year, behind only âDeadpool & Wolverineâ and âInside Out 2.â Itâs also a record for a Broadway musical adaptation.
Two Hollywood films, âWickedâ and âRed Oneâ, set to premiere in Bangladesh
Ridley Scottâs âGladiator II,â a sequel to his 2000 best picture-winning original, launched with $55.5 million in ticket sales. With a price tag of around $250 million to produce it, âGladiator IIâ was a big bet by Paramount Pictures to return to the Colosseum with a largely new cast, led by Denzel Washington and Paul Mescal. While it opened with a touch less than the $60 million predicted in domestic ticket sales, âGladiator IIâ has performed well overseas. It added $50.5 million internationally.
The collision of the two movies led to some echoes of the âBarbenheimerâ effect of last year, when âBarbieâ and âOppenheimerâ launched simultaneously. The nickname this time, âGlicked,â wasnât quite as catchy and the cultural imprint also was notably less. Few people sought out a double feature this time. The domestic grosses in 2023 â $162 million for âBarbieâ and $82 million for âOppenheimerâ â also were higher.
âGlickedâ falls short of âBarbenheimerâ
For Universal, which distributed âOppenheimer" last year, the weekend was more a triumph of âWicked" than it was of âGlicked.â
âWe saw an opportunity to dominate a weekend and get a very large running start into the Thanksgiving holiday," said Jim Orr, distribution chief for Universal. "We're very confident that it will play ridiculously well through the Christmas corridor and into the new year.â
But the counter-programming effect was still potent for âWickedâ and âGladiator II,â which likewise split broadly along gender lines. And it was again the female-leaning release â âWicked,â like âBarbieâ before it â that easily won the weekend. About 72% of ticket buyers for âWickedâ were female, while 61% of those seeing âGladiator IIâ were male.
âStanding on their own, each of these movies may have done pretty much what they did, but itâs hard to know,â said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst for Comscore. âRaising awareness can indeed lead to an increase in box office. Letâs put it this way: They didnât hurt each other at all.â
Massive marketing campaigns paved the way for opening weekend
While âBarbenheimerâ benefitted enormously from meme-spread word-of-mouth, both âWickedâ and âGladiator IIâ leaned on all-out marketing blitzes.
The âGladiator IIâ campaign featured everything from a much-debated Airbnb cross-promotion with the actual Colosseum in Rome to simultaneously running a one-minute trailer on more than 4,000 TV networks, radio station and digital platforms.
The âWickedâ onslaught went even further, with pink and green themed âWickedly Deliciousâ Starbucks drinks, Stanley mugs and Mattel dolls (some of which led to an awkward recall ). Its stars made appearances at the Met Gala and the Olympics.
âWe had roughly 400 global brand partners on âWicked,â so the campaign was inescapable, said Orr. âAnd our cast, led by Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande, worked so hard on this. They were everywhere. They did everything we asked them to do.â
Going into the weekend, box office was down about 11% from last year and some 25% from pre-pandemic times. That meant this week's two headline films led a much-needed resurgence for theaters. With âMoana 2â releasing Wednesday, Hollywood might be looking at historic sales over the Thanksgiving holiday.
The two films boosted sluggish box office performance
âThis weekendâs two strong openers are invigorating a box office that fell apart after a good summer,â said David A. Gross, a film consultant who publishes a newsletter for Franchise Entertainment.
Though âWickedâ will face some direct competition from âMoana 2,â it would seem better set up for a long and lucrative run in theaters than âGladiator II.â Though some have dinged âWickedâ for running long, at 2 hours and 40 minutes, the film has had mostly stellar reviews. Audiences gave it an âAâ on CinemaScore. The reception for âWickedâ has been strong enough that Oscar prognosticators expect it to be a contender for best picture at the Academy Awards, among other categories.
Producers, perhaps sensing a hit, also took the step of splitting âWickedâ in two. Part two, already filmed, is due out next November. Each âWickedâ installation cost around $150 million to make.
âGladiator IIâ has also enjoyed good reviews, particularly for Washington's charismatic performance. Audience scores, though, were weaker, with ticket buyers giving it a âBâ on CinemaScore. The film will make up for some of that, however, with robust international sales. It launched in many overseas markets a week ago, and has already accrued $165.5 million internationally.
Coming in a distant third place for the weekend was âRed One,â the Dwayne Johnson, Chris Evans holiday movie turned action film. In its second week of release, the Amazon MGM Studios release grossed $13.3 million to bring its two-week global haul to $117 million. At a cost of $250 million to make, âRed Oneâ is the season's biggest flop, though it could recoup some value for Amazon if it's more popular once it begins streaming.
Final domestic figures will be released Monday. Estimated ticket sales for Friday through Sunday at U.S. and Canadian theaters, according to Comscore:
1. "Wicked," $114 million.
2. âGladiator II,â $55.5 million.
3. âRed One,â $13.3 million.
4. âBonhoeffer: Pastor Spy Assassin," $5.1 million.
5. âVenom: The Last Dance,â $4 million.
6. âThe Best Christmas Pageant Ever,â $3.5 million.
7. âHeretic,â $2.2 million.
8. âThe Wild Robot,â $2 million.
9. âSmile 2,â $1.1 million.
10. âA Real Pain,â $1.1 million.