robots
Drone advances in Ukraine could bring dawn of killer robots
Drone advances in Ukraine have accelerated a long-anticipated technology trend that could soon bring the world’s first fully autonomous fighting robots to the battlefield, inaugurating a new age of warfare.
The longer the war lasts, the more likely it becomes that drones will be used to identify, select and attack targets without help from humans, according to military analysts, combatants and artificial intelligence researchers.
That would mark a revolution in military technology as profound as the introduction of the machine gun. Ukraine already has semi-autonomous attack drones and counter-drone weapons endowed with AI. Russia also claims to possess AI weaponry, though the claims are unproven. But there are no confirmed instances of a nation putting into combat robots that have killed entirely on their own.
Experts say it may be only a matter of time before either Russia or Ukraine, or both, deploy them.
“Many states are developing this technology,” said Zachary Kallenborn, a George Mason University weapons innovation analyst. ”Clearly, it’s not all that difficult.”
The sense of inevitability extends to activists, who have tried for years to ban killer drones but now believe they must settle for trying to restrict the weapons’ offensive use.
Ukraine’s digital transformation minister, Mykhailo Fedorov, agrees that fully autonomous killer drones are “a logical and inevitable next step” in weapons development. He said Ukraine has been doing “a lot of R&D in this direction.”
“I think that the potential for this is great in the next six months,” Fedorov told The Associated Press in a recent interview.
Ukrainian Lt. Col. Yaroslav Honchar, co-founder of the combat drone innovation nonprofit Aerorozvidka, said in a recent interview near the front that human war fighters simply cannot process information and make decisions as quickly as machines.
Ukrainian military leaders currently prohibit the use of fully independent lethal weapons, although that could change, he said.
“We have not crossed this line yet – and I say ‘yet’ because I don’t know what will happen in the future.” said Honchar, whose group has spearheaded drone innovation in Ukraine, converting cheap commercial drones into lethal weapons.
Russia could obtain autonomous AI from Iran or elsewhere. The long-range Shahed-136 exploding drones supplied by Iran have crippled Ukrainian power plants and terrorized civilians but are not especially smart. Iran has other drones in its evolving arsenal that it says feature AI.
Without a great deal of trouble, Ukraine could make its semi-autonomous weaponized drones fully independent in order to better survive battlefield jamming, their Western manufacturers say.
Those drones include the U.S.-made Switchblade 600 and the Polish Warmate, which both currently require a human to choose targets over a live video feed. AI finishes the job. The drones, technically known as “loitering munitions,” can hover for minutes over a target, awaiting a clean shot.
“The technology to achieve a fully autonomous mission with Switchblade pretty much exists today,” said Wahid Nawabi, CEO of AeroVironment, its maker. That will require a policy change — to remove the human from the decision-making loop — that he estimates is three years away.
Drones can already recognize targets such as armored vehicles using cataloged images. But there is disagreement over whether the technology is reliable enough to ensure that the machines don’t err and take the lives of noncombatants.
Read more: Ukraine reports more Russian drone attacks
The AP asked the defense ministries of Ukraine and Russia if they have used autonomous weapons offensively – and whether they would agree not to use them if the other side similarly agreed. Neither responded.
If either side were to go on the attack with full AI, it might not even be a first.
An inconclusive U.N. report last year suggested that killer robots debuted in Libya’s internecine conflict in 2020, when Turkish-made Kargu-2 drones in full-automatic mode killed an unspecified number of combatants.
A spokesman for STM, the manufacturer, said the report was based on “speculative, unverified” information and “should not be taken seriously.” He told the AP the Kargu-2 cannot attack a target until the operator tells it to do so.
Fully autonomous AI is already helping to defend Ukraine. Utah-based Fortem Technologies has supplied the Ukrainian military with drone-hunting systems that combine small radars and unmanned aerial vehicles, both powered by AI. The radars are designed to identify enemy drones, which the UAVs then disable by firing nets at them — all without human assistance.
The number of AI-endowed drones keeps growing. Israel has been exporting them for decades. Its radar-killing Harpy can hover over anti-aircraft radar for up to nine hours waiting for them to power up.
Other examples include Beijing’s Blowfish-3 unmanned weaponized helicopter. Russia has been working on a nuclear-tipped underwater AI drone called the Poseidon. The Dutch are currently testing a ground robot with a .50-caliber machine gun.
Honchar believes Russia, whose attacks on Ukrainian civilians have shown little regard for international law, would have used killer autonomous drones by now if the Kremlin had them.
“I don’t think they’d have any scruples,” agreed Adam Bartosiewicz, vice president of WB Group, which makes the Warmate.
AI is a priority for Russia. President Vladimir Putin said in 2017 that whoever dominates that technology will rule the world. In a Dec. 21 speech, he expressed confidence in the Russian arms industry’s ability to embed AI in war machines, stressing that “the most effective weapons systems are those that operate quickly and practically in an automatic mode.” Russian officials already claim their Lancet drone can operate with full autonomy.
“It’s not going to be easy to know if and when Russia crosses that line,” said Gregory C. Allen, former director of strategy and policy at the Pentagon’s Joint Artificial Intelligence Center.
Switching a drone from remote piloting to full autonomy might not be perceptible. To date, drones able to work in both modes have performed better when piloted by a human, Allen said.
The technology is not especially complicated, said University of California-Berkeley professor Stuart Russell, a top AI researcher. In the mid-2010s, colleagues he polled agreed that graduate students could, in a single term, produce an autonomous drone “capable of finding and killing an individual, let’s say, inside a building,” he said.
An effort to lay international ground rules for military drones has so far been fruitless. Nine years of informal United Nations talks in Geneva made little headway, with major powers including the United States and Russia opposing a ban. The last session, in December, ended with no new round scheduled.
Washington policymakers say they won’t agree to a ban because rivals developing drones cannot be trusted to use them ethically.
Toby Walsh, an Australian academic who, like Russell, campaigns against killer robots, hopes to achieve a consensus on some limits, including a ban on systems that use facial recognition and other data to identify or attack individuals or categories of people.
“If we are not careful, they are going to proliferate much more easily than nuclear weapons,” said Walsh, author of “Machines Behaving Badly.” “If you can get a robot to kill one person, you can get it to kill a thousand.”
Scientists also worry about AI weapons being repurposed by terrorists. In one feared scenario, the U.S. military spends hundreds of millions writing code to power killer drones. Then it gets stolen and copied, effectively giving terrorists the same weapon.
Read more: Russia, shaken by Ukrainian strike, could step up drone use
The global public is concerned. An Ipsos survey done for Human Rights Watch in 2019 found that 61% of adults across 26 countries oppose the use of lethal autonomous weapons systems.
To date, the Pentagon has neither clearly defined “autonomous weapon” nor authorized a single such weapon for use by U.S. troops, said Allen, the former Defense Department official. Any proposed system must be approved by the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and two undersecretaries.
That’s not stopping the weapons from being developed across the U.S. Projects are underway at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, military labs, academic institutions and in the private secto
The Pentagon has emphasized using AI to augment human warriors. The Air Force is studying ways to pair pilots with drone wingmen. A booster of the idea, former Deputy Defense Secretary Robert O. Work, said in a report last month that it “would be crazy not to go to an autonomous system” once AI-enabled systems outperform humans — a threshold that he said was crossed in 2015, when computer vision eclipsed that of humans.
Humans have already been pushed out in some defensive systems. Israel’s Iron Dome missile shield is authorized to open fire automatically, although it is said to be monitored by a person who can intervene if the system goes after the wrong target.
Multiple countries, and every branch of the U.S. military, are developing drones that can attack in deadly synchronized swarms, according to Kallenborn, the George Mason researcher.
So will future wars become a fight to the last drone?
That’s what Putin predicted in a 2017 televised chat with engineering students: “When one party’s drones are destroyed by drones of another, it will have no other choice but to surrender.”
1 year ago
AI & Future of Jobs: Will Artificial Intelligence or Robots Take Your Job?
The buzz around AI taking over jobs has been around forever. Especially after the start of AI usage in conventional applications. While automation certainly makes life easier and processes efficient, it still hasn’t reached a stage where a business or an office can be completely reliant on them. But the growth of AI has been unprecedented and it will only expand in the times to come. And that begs the question, what will happen to conventional jobs? Will AI take over your job? or will you get replaced by a robot? Let’s find out.
The State and Future of Jobs
The process of job automation started even before the internet came into being. Back in the late 80s, computers were typing machines that were rapidly replacing handwritten copywriting jobs. The situation and status surrounding AI and job automation are more intricate than they might actually seem.
Most people will come to a gross conclusion that AI and robots will be the future workforce and humans will be left without a job. And that is true, but partially. The World Economic Forum predicts that almost 85 million jobs will be lost to some form of automation. However, there is also another aspect. WEF also claims that because of automation through AI and robots, another 95 million jobs will be generated in place of the lost ones.
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So, while automation will take over certain jobs, there are ones that will remain for humans and others that will be created as an alternative. But what are the current jobs that are at the risk of becoming obsolete? Here are a few prominent ones.
Which Professions Can Be Replaced by AI
Customer Service Representatives
The use of AI is already becoming prominent in the customer service industry. This is a low-skilled job that is mainly based on human interactions of answering queries and solutions. AI-powered chatbots are increasingly helping businesses to automate the customer service process. It not only brings better efficiency but also reduces the cost of maintaining a representative team.
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Data Entry
Data entry is another low-skilled job that is commonly seen in Bangladesh. These are mainly contractual positions where a person is hired based on projects. There are some permanent jobs in the government services for data entry operators as well.
But as AI and ML become increasingly streamlined to read and interpret data, the chances of data entry operator jobs becoming obsolete in the next half a decade seems imminent.
Front Desk Receptionists
Front Desk Receptionist jobs are also at risk because of automation. The implication has become more prominent after the advent of the pandemic. The pandemic forced automation, social distancing, self-checkouts, and check-ins meant the job of the receptionist became virtually zero. And in the new normal, it is hard to see the position of receptionist staying viable in the long run.
Read High Paid Jobs that Will Never be Replaced by AI
From the context of Bangladesh, the receptionist job may still prevail for some time as the automation might take some time to replace direct queries. But eventually, the position still remains at risk of becoming obsolete.
Proofreading
Proofreading should not be confused with the job of the editor of a piece. While editing involves working with the style and tone of a written piece to suit the writer's style and audience, proofreading simply checks for grammatical errors and major flaws in the writing.
However, applications like Grammarly and Hemingway are becoming increasingly flawless at detecting mistakes. And not just these two, some other similar applications and websites do the job of proofreading pretty well and free of cost. As things stand, the job of proofreaders might soon go out of business.
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Retail Sector
The retail sector jobs like shop managers, executives and cashiers might soon become irrelevant. Now one might think about how grocery stores work then? We suggest you check out Amazon Go. These are a range of super shops without a single representative.
Customers will go in, pick up what they need, and pay automatically on their way out. The powerful ML and AI can track what you are picking and not and prepare the bill accordingly. It's only a matter of time before this technology becomes mainstream for other retail giants across the globe.
Delivery Solutions
AI and automation have brought a revolutionary change in the supply chain as well as logistics of many large-scale companies. The technology that was used for processing and tracking packages has slowly started to trickle into the process of deliveries itself.
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Amazon has already started testing out the possibility of using drones to make deliveries. Needless to say, the job of the traditional door-to-door deliveries is also under threat.
Market Analysts
There is a whole specified field of people who specialize in market analysis to make better investment choices. Market analysts as they are known use the existing and historical data to prepare the reports and forecasts, something that AI and ML can do far more accurately. Though this technology is in its nascent stage, there will soon come a time when AI will be able to make far more accurate market forecasts compared to analysts.
Soldiers
While warfare anywhere is not commendable, it is still a persistent tool for safeguarding the interest of a nation. And the soldiers have always been at the forefront of any wars. But that too might change in the future as newer and advanced technologies are developed.
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Many developed countries are already testing out specialized drones and intercontinental missile systems. Soon wars will be fought without the need for soldiers, though it may have other consequences for humanity.
Final Words
So far, we have discussed some of the most common jobs that can be replaced by artifical ingellinge in future. Besides these, there are many types of jobs under different fields that are under direct threat from AI and automation. But of course, they make up a small part of an existing system.
Free thinking, human creativity, writing, poets – the host of jobs that will forever need a human essence are far too many. So while it might be a long shot till AI and ML make a noticeable dent in human employment, it is still assumed that the benefits of automation outweigh its negative implications.
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2 years ago
As robots take over warehousing, workers pushed to adapt
Guess who's getting used to working with robots in their everyday lives? The very same warehouse workers once predicted to be losing their jobs to mechanical replacements .
4 years ago