United News of Bangladesh

The world is expected to experience record-breaking heat over the next five years, with global temperatures likely to repeatedly cross the critical climate safety limit, according to new projections by the United Nations. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) says there is a 75% chance that average global temperatures between 2026 and 2030 will rise above 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial levels. This limit was set under the 2015 Paris climate agreement as a threshold to avoid the worst impacts of climate change. Scientists warn that even a slight increase beyond this level can have serious consequences, including loss of ecosystems like coral reefs and glaciers, along with rising risks to human life. The report also predicts rapid warming in the Arctic, which could heat up nearly 1.66 degrees Celsius by 2030 — much faster than the global average. At the same time, the Amazon region may face hotter and drier conditions, increasing the risk of drought and wildfires. Experts say continued burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and gas is driving global temperatures higher, leading to more extreme weather events like floods, heatwaves and prolonged droughts. Climate scientist Friederike Otto said that even one year above the 1.5-degree mark could trigger extreme conditions beyond what societies are prepared for. “We could see deadly heat, food shortages and more intense wildfires,” she warned. Short-term forecasts also point to a likely strong El Niño event, a natural warming pattern in the Pacific Ocean that can further raise global temperatures. As a result, 2027 could surpass 2024 as the hottest year on record. If current trends continue, the planet could warm at a faster pace than before — about 0.25 degrees Celsius per decade, compared to earlier rates of around 0.2 degrees. Arctic warming at alarming rate The Arctic is expected to warm about 3.5 times faster than the global average due to shrinking ice and snow, which normally reflect sunlight. As ice melts, more heat is absorbed, worsening the cycle of warming. The WMO estimates that Arctic winters in the coming years could be significantly warmer than recent decades, while summer sea ice will continue to decline. Amazon faces growing risks The Amazon basin is also at risk of becoming hotter and drier, which could increase wildfire threats and disrupt water supplies for millions of people. Scientists warn that the region could shift from absorbing carbon dioxide to releasing it, worsening climate change. Meanwhile, parts of Africa’s Sahel region may receive heavier rainfall than usual, raising the risk of flooding. Global efforts still falling short UN officials say current global efforts to tackle climate change are not enough to slow down rising temperatures. “Global heating is still increasing faster than efforts to control it,” said UN climate chief Simon Stiell. He pointed to extreme heat in regions like Europe and India as evidence of the growing human and economic costs. “From heatwaves and floods to wildfires and food shortages, every country is already facing serious impacts from climate change,” he added.  

Extreme weather events accelerated by man-made global warming caused 11 778 reported disasters in the last 50 years, with just over 2 million deaths and US$ 4.3 trillion in economic losses, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO)  has said. Asia saw the highest death toll due to extreme weather, climate and water-related events during the period, with around one million deaths – more than half in Bangladesh alone. Also Read: Heat wave in Asia made 30 times more likely because of climate change, scientists say Developing countries were hit hardest, seeing nine in 10 deaths and 60 per cent of economic losses from climate shocks and extreme weather, it said on Monday.  Weather, climate and water-related hazards caused close to 12,000 disasters between 1970 and 2021, according to WMO findings. Also Read: The US leads the world in weather catastrophes. Here’s why WMO said that Least Developed Countries and Small Island Developing States suffered a “disproportionately” high cost in relation to the size of their economies. “The most vulnerable communities, unfortunately, bear the brunt of weather, climate and water-related hazards,” said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas. In Least Developed Countries, WMO said that several disasters over the past half-century had caused economic losses of up to 30 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP). Also Read: Italy’s deadly floods just latest example of climate change’s all-or-nothing weather extremes In Small Island Developing States, one in five disasters had an impact “equivalent to more than five per cent” of GDP, with some disasters wiping out countries’ entire GDP. In Africa, WMO said that droughts accounted for 95 per cent of the reported 733,585 climate disaster deaths. Also Read: Pacific Island leaders say rich countries are not doing enough to control climate change WMO stressed however that improved early warnings and coordinated disaster management have helped mitigate the deadly impact of disasters. “Early warnings save lives,” Taalas insisted. The UN agency also noted that recorded deaths for 2020 and 2021 were lower than the previous decade’s average. Pointing to the example of last week’s severe cyclonic storm Mocha, which caused devastation in Myanmar’s and Bangladesh’s coastal areas, Taalas recalled that similar weather disasters in the past caused “death tolls of tens and even hundreds of thousands” in both countries.  The agency had previously shown that just 24 hours’ notice prior to an impending weather hazard can cut the ensuing damage by 30 per cent, calling early warnings the “low-hanging fruit” of climate change adaptation because of their tenfold return on investment. Also Read: Asia and the Pacific unprepared to face climate-induced catastrophes, warns new UN study WMO issued its new findings on the human and economic cost of weather-induced disasters for its quadrennial World Meteorological Congress, which opened on Monday in Geneva with a focus on implementing the UN’s Early Warnings for All initiative.  Also Read: Scientists: Climate change worsened Eastern Africa drought The initiative aims to ensure that early warning services reach everyone on Earth by the end of 2027. It was launched by UN Secretary-General António Guterres at the COP27 climate change conference in Sharm al-Sheikh in November last year.  Also Read: Asia must quit coal faster to stem worst climate woes: ADB Currently, only half of the world is covered by early warning systems, with Small Island Developing States and Least Developed Countries left far behind.    

With India and Pakistan reeling under an extreme heatwave, the countries are working to roll out life-saving health action plans, the UN weather agency has said. The extreme heat is impacting hundreds of millions of people in one of the most densely populated parts of the world, threatening to damage whole ecosystems. Working closely with health and disaster management agencies, the national meteorological and hydrological departments in both countries, plan to roll out heat health action plans, which have been successful in saving lives in the past few years, said the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Friday. Both India and Pakistan have successful heat-health early warning systems and action plans already in place, including those specially tailored for urban areas. They reduce heat mortality and lessen the social impacts of extreme heat, including lost work productivity. The India Meteorological Department said maximum temperatures reached 43-46°C in widespread areas on April 28, and this intense heat will continue until May 2. Similar temperatures have also been seen in Pakistan, with daytime temperatures likely to be between 5°C and 8°C above normal in large swathes of the country, said the Pakistan Meteorological Department. In the mountainous regions of Gilgit-Baltistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, the unusual heat levels would accelerate snow and ice melt, with the possibility of triggering glacial lake floods or flash floods in vulnerable areas, it added. Air quality has also deteriorated, and large swathes of land are at risk of fire outbreaks. It is premature to attribute the extreme heat in India and Pakistan solely to climate change, said the WMO. "However, it is consistent with what we expect in a changing climate." The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in its recent Sixth Assessment Report, said heatwaves and humid heat stress would be more intense and frequent in South Asia this century. Also read: Deadly flooding, heatwaves in Europe, highlight urgency of climate action: WMO The current heatwave was triggered by a high-pressure system and follows an extended period of above-average temperatures. India recorded its warmest March on record, with an average maximum temperature of 33.1°C, or 1.86°C above the long-term average. Pakistan also recorded its warmest March for at least the past 60 years, with several stations breaking March records. In the pre-monsoon period, both India and Pakistan regularly experience excessively high temperatures, especially during May. India has established a national framework for heat action plans through the national disaster management authority which coordinates a network of state disaster response agencies and city leaders, to prepare for soaring temperatures and ensure that everyone is aware of heatwave protocols. The city of Ahmedabad in India was the first South Asian city to develop and implement a city-wide heat health adaptation, in 2013, after experiencing a devastating heatwave in 2010. This successful approach was then expanded to 23 heatwave-prone states and serves to protect more than 130 cities and districts. Pakistan has also made strides towards protecting public health from heat. In the summer of 2015, a heatwave engulfed much of central and northwest India and eastern Pakistan and was directly or indirectly responsible for several thousand deaths. The event acted as a wake-up call and led to the development and implementation of the Heat Action Plan in Karachi and other parts of Pakistan. Typical plans make sure the targeted intervention is a right fit and designed for the heat vulnerable population of a city. It first identifies the heat hotspots of the city, locates the vulnerable populations in these pockets, and assesses the nature and status of their vulnerability to extreme heat.

Bangladesh will observe the World Meteorological Day on Tuesday with the theme "The Ocean, Our climate and Weather."

The current onset of warmer temperatures in the northern hemisphere, should not be used as a trigger to relax measures to halt the spread of coronavirus, the UN weather agency cautioned on Thursday.

A deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining area has intensified into the cyclonic storm "Burevi."

The International Lightning Awareness Day is being observed across the world on Sunday.

Record amount of the three main heat-trapping gases– carbon dioxide (CO2), methane, and nitrous oxide – emitted into the atmosphere in 2018, according to a report from the UN’s World Meteorological Organization.