T20 World Cup 2022 Group 1 Favourites
T20 World Cup 2022: Semifinal qualification scenarios
As the Super 12s is about to finish on November 6, the big teams started to find their form in the final stages of this round in their quest for a semifinal berth. It seems three teams are currently fighting for a place in the semifinals from Group 1, while the scenarios in Group 2 are a bit complicated. Let’s take a look at the semifinal qualification scenarios for the T20 World Cup 2022.
Semifinal qualification scenarios for the T20 World Cup 2022
As it stands in the points tables of both groups, the semi-final lineup will likely be from the teams that started their campaign as favorites in the Twenty20 World Cup 2022. Australia, New Zealand, and England are the favorites from Group 1 to advance to the knockout phase. On the other hand, India and South Africa are in a strong position in Group 2. Here are the current scenarios for both groups' points tables.
Read More: Pakistan vs South Africa T20 world Cup Live Streaming: Where and How to watch live, Playing XI
Group 1
New Zealand are in a strong position in the points standings to finish top of Group 1. They have five points with better run rates than England and Australia. The Kiwi side will face Ireland in their final group stage fixture and will advance to the next round if they simply beat them.
England and Australia will likely battle it out for the second spot in this group. Both have 5 points each, but England ahead of Australia thanks to better run rates. England will take on Sri Lanka in their final group phase fixtures, while Australia will face Afghanistan.
In a realistic point of view, Sri Lanka have a better chance to beat England than Afghanistan have to overcome Australia. The reigning champions, Australia, will be hoping for Sri Lanka to defeat England in their final fixture so that they can advance to the next phase by beating Afghanistan.
On the other hand, England will qualify for the next phase if they beat Sri Lanka. The Lankan side is in fourth place with 4 points, and they have a chance if they beat England. But at the same time, Australia have to lose their fixture against Afghanistan in order for Sri Lanka to advance to the next phase.
Besides, Ireland and Afghanistan have no chance to move on to the semifinals as they are in the fifth and sixth positions, respectively, with 3 and 2 points each.
Read More: When playing against India, we’re often close to the finish line: Shakib
Group 2
India are currently at the top of the points table with 6 points after four games, and they will advance to the semifinal phase should they win against Zimbabwe in their final fixture of the Super 12 Round.
South Africa are in the second position with 5 points and will have two matches left against Pakistan and the Netherlands, respectively. The Proteas side is the hot favourite to finish in the top two in the standings as they have a strong run rate.
Bangladesh are in third position with 4 points and can have 6 points if they beat Pakistan in their final fixture on November 6. On the other hand, Pakistan can earn as many as 6 points if they win their final two fixtures against South Africa and Bangladesh, respectively.
Both Bangladesh and Pakistan have an outside chance to finish in the top two of the points table, but that completely depends on the outcomes of India and South Africa’s fixtures. Besides, Zimbabwe and the Netherlands are currently in the fourth and sixth positions, respectively. These two teams have no chance of making it to the knockout stage.
Read More: T20 World Cup 2022: Despite fighting tooth and nail, Bangladesh lose to India
Bottom Line
Australia, England, New Zealand, India, and South Africa are expected to advance to the next round based on the current point standings scenarios for a semifinal spot from both groups. These teams deserve to go to the knockout round, as they are considered hot favourites to win the T20 World Cup 2022.
2 years ago
T20 World Cup 2022: Australia, England, New Zealand - who are favourites to move to semifinals?
Three hot favourites in Group 1 of the Super 12s are vying for a spot in the knockout phase of the T20 World Cup 2022. Sri Lanka are still in the race for a semifinal berth, but their chances are very slim. On the other hand, Ireland and Afghanistan are already out of the tournament. Let’s have a look at which teams among Australia, England, and New Zealand are favourites to advance to the semifinals.
Twenty20 World Cup 2022: Scenarios of Group 1
The majority of experts predicted that Australia would dominate the Group 1 stage given that they are the defending champions and the tournament's hosts. However, Australia's chances of making it to the semifinals are in jeopardy after falling to New Zealand by a huge margin of 89 runs in the Super 12 Round opener.
Read More: Bangladesh vs India T20 world Cup Live Streaming: Where and How to watch live, Playing XI
The Australian team was hard hit by net run rates, and they are still far behind their group rivals in this equation. However, the 2021 champions have stayed strong in the race for a place in the semifinals by sitting in third place in the points standings.
New Zealand are currently top of the group 1 points table with 5, but they have a way better run rate than second-placed England and their arch-rival Australia; both of them have 5 points as well.
Sri Lanka are in the fourth position with 4 points, and they are also in the race for a spot in the semifinals. However, the Lankan side’s chances rely on the outcomes of the other remaining fixtures in the group even if they overcome England in their final game of the Super 12s.
Among the other teams, Afghanistan are completely out of the tournament, while Ireland are mathematically in the race for a berth in the knockout phase. However, the Irish team’s probability of going to the next round depends on a lot of ifs and buts, which are unlikely to happen.
Let’s take a glance at the current situation of the Group 1 points table, the remaining fixtures, and which teams have a better chance to go to the semifinals.
Group 1 points standings (as on November 1)
Team
Match
Win
Lose
N/R
Points
NRR
New Zealand
4
2
1
1
5
2.233
England
4
2
1
1
5
0.547
Australia
4
2
1
1
5
-0.304
Sri Lanka
4
2
2
0
4
-0.457
Ireland
4
1
2
1
3
-1.544
Afghanistan
4
0
2
2
2
-0.718
Remaining fixtures of Group 1
Match: Ireland vs New Zealand | Date: November 4 (Friday) | Venue: Adelaide Oval | Time: 10 a.m. (BDT)Match: Australia vs Afghanistan | Date: November 4 (Friday) | Venue: Adelaide Oval | Time: 2 p.m. (BDT)Match: England vs Sri Lanka | Date: November 5 (Saturday) | Venue: SCG, Sydney | Time: 2 p.m. (BDT)
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Australia
The Australian side will face Afghanistan in their final Group 1 fixture this Friday at the Adelaide Oval. Winning the match will not be enough for Australia if New Zealand and England win their respective final matches. Australia will have to ensure a big margin of victory in this contest so that their net run rates improve. But as it seems now, Australia need a favour from Ireland and Sri Lanka by winning their respective matches against New Zealand and England.
England
The English side will face a tougher opponent than Australia and New Zealand in their final Group 1 fixture. They will take on the Lanakan side on November 5 at the SCG. England will likely advance to the knockout round if they overcome Sri Lanka in this contest, as they have better run rates than Australia.
New Zealand
The Kiwi side is the favourite to top the Group 1 point standings thanks to a superior run rate. The 2021 ICC Twenty20 World Cup Champions will advance to the semifinals if they simply beat Ireland. It will be challenging for the Irish team to come away with a victory given the New Zealand team's performance thus far in the competition.
Read More: If we can beat India and Pakistan, it’ll be considered ‘an upset’: Shakib
Verdict
According to the point standings and net run rates, New Zealand are the clear favorite to top Group 1 and advance to the knockout round. The English team should be more confident than Australia in order to secure a spot in the last four since they have greater run rates. The Australian team will thus be under massive pressure to defeat Afghanistan in Adelaide and advance to the T20 World Cup 2022 semifinals.
2 years ago