Starmer
Burnham set to replace Starmer but faces challenge of delivering change
Andy Burnham is poised to become Britain's next prime minister following Keir Starmer's resignation, but analysts say he could find it difficult to quickly break away from the policies of his predecessor.
Burnham, the former mayor of Greater Manchester, was sworn back into Parliament just hours after Starmer announced he would step down on Monday. If no other candidate joins the Labour Party leadership race, Burnham is expected to take office on July 17.
Although Burnham is one of Labour's most popular figures and is known for his relaxed, approachable style, he will initially be bound by the party's election platform that ended 14 years of Conservative rule in 2024.
Political analysts say his biggest task will be convincing voters that his leadership offers a fresh direction while maintaining confidence among financial markets.
"Andy Burnham is being seen by many as the person who can revive British politics," said Matthew Flinders, a politics professor at the University of Sheffield. "The real test will come when expectations rise and public opinion becomes more demanding."
Burnham is expected to outline his economic plans in a speech next week. His main priorities include boosting Britain's sluggish economy, improving public services, tackling the cost-of-living crisis, increasing housing supply and creating more opportunities for young people.
Following Starmer's resignation, Burnham said the country needed "stability" and a continued focus on issues that matter most to the public.
While Burnham is generally seen as more left-leaning than Starmer, he has promised not to exceed the government's current spending and borrowing limits. Analysts say that approach is aimed at reassuring investors after the market turmoil triggered by former Prime Minister Liz Truss's short-lived economic policies in 2022.
Burnham has promoted a model often described as "Manchesterism," combining business-friendly policies with greater local control over housing, transport, education and public services. Reports suggest he may also move parts of the prime minister's office away from London to northern England as part of his push to decentralise power.
He has ruled out raising income taxes and has suggested reducing some tax burdens on businesses. However, experts say questions remain over how he would finance new spending commitments while also meeting growing defence costs.
The outgoing government had pledged to increase defence spending to 3.5% of GDP by 2035 to meet NATO targets, but critics argued progress had been too slow.
Foreign policy may also prove challenging for Burnham, who has little experience on the international stage.
Relations with US President Donald Trump could be particularly delicate. Trump recently dismissed Burnham as a "town" mayor and questioned whether he would support expanding North Sea oil drilling.
Unlike Starmer, who invested significant effort in maintaining ties with Washington and strengthening European support for Ukraine, Burnham is expected to place greater emphasis on domestic issues. Analysts believe he may rely on an experienced foreign secretary to handle much of Britain's international diplomacy.
Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper said Burnham remains firmly committed to supporting Ukraine, NATO and Britain's international partnerships.
Observers say Burnham's communication skills and public image could work in his favour. Known for his informal style, love of football and interest in music, he has built a reputation as an approachable politician.
Political experts believe he is likely to adopt a cautious approach during his early months in office before pursuing broader constitutional reforms, including proposals to replace the House of Lords with an elected senate and introduce proportional representation.
Burnham has also expressed support for Britain rejoining the European Union at some point in the future, although he softened that position during his recent election campaign in a strongly pro-Brexit constituency.
Analysts say if Burnham can build public trust over the next three years, he may seek a stronger mandate at the next general election to pursue more ambitious reforms.
3 days ago
King Charles III to present UK government agenda as Starmer faces political pressure
King Charles III will on Wednesday formally present the UK government’s legislative agenda for the coming year in the traditional State Opening of Parliament, a ceremony marked by historic pageantry and royal symbolism.
The speech, written by the government, will outline its planned laws and priorities. However, attention is likely to focus less on the program itself and more on whether Prime Minister Keir Starmer can remain in office to deliver it.
Starmer is under mounting pressure after his Labour Party suffered heavy defeats in local and regional elections last week. The losses have weakened his authority and triggered criticism from within his own party, with some accusing him of failing to take strong enough action on the cost-of-living crisis, inequality and strained public services.
His position has become more uncertain following a recent speech to party supporters that was widely criticized as underwhelming. On Tuesday, former safeguarding minister Jess Phillips resigned from the government, saying ministers needed to be more forceful in defending and explaining their policies.
Ceremony meets political uncertainty
The State Opening of Parliament is one of Britain’s most symbolic political events, blending centuries-old royal tradition with modern democratic governance. It highlights the constitutional shift from royal rule to parliamentary democracy, where elected lawmakers hold real power.
But this year’s ceremony comes at a time of political instability, with Starmer’s leadership in question and the government facing broader challenges, including economic pressures, rising public debt, limited military capacity and ongoing debates over immigration and public services.
Policy plans in focus
The speech is expected to include measures aimed at easing the cost-of-living crisis, encouraging investment through a proposed national wealth fund, and tightening asylum rules. Other possible proposals include ending jury trials for some cases in England and Wales, lowering the voting age to 16, and introducing a “duty of candor” for public officials to promote honesty and cooperation in investigations.
However, many of these proposals have already been announced in some form, raising doubts over whether they will be enough to rebuild political confidence in Starmer’s leadership.
Royal tradition in Westminster
During the ceremony, the monarch travels from Buckingham Palace to Parliament in a horse-drawn carriage, wearing ceremonial robes and the Imperial State Crown before entering the House of Lords.
A symbolic ritual follows in which a royal messenger, known as Black Rod, is sent to summon members of the House of Commons. The Commons door is traditionally slammed in response to underline its independence, before MPs proceed to the Lords’ chamber to hear the speech.
After the address, Parliament begins several days of debate on the government’s proposed legislative program.
1 month ago