Bangladesh's economy is projected to grow by 4.14 percent in the 2025-26 fiscal year, according to the provisional estimate released by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), marking an improvement from the 3.49 percent growth recorded in FY25.
The provisional estimate shows that the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at current prices has increased to Tk 61,20,209 crore (US$501 billion) in FY26 from Tk 55,15,026 crore (US$456 billion) in FY25.
BBS said the estimates were prepared based on available data and information, following the publication of the final GDP estimates for FY25.
According to the provisional figures, the agriculture sector is expected to grow by 2.78 percent in FY26, up from 2.42 percent in the previous fiscal year, reflecting an increase of 0.36 percentage points.
The services sector is also projected to register stronger growth, rising to 4.59 percent from 4.35 percent a year earlier, an increase of 0.24 percentage points.
However, growth in the industrial sector is estimated to slow to 2.86 percent in FY26 from 3.71 percent in FY25, representing a decline of 0.85 percentage points.
The BBS data also indicate a decline in key macroeconomic ratios.
The investment-to-GDP ratio is estimated at 27.93 percent in FY26, down from 28.54 percent in FY25. Similarly, the domestic savings-to-GDP ratio has fallen to 21.38 percent from 21.98 percent, while the national savings-to-GDP ratio has declined to 26.93 percent from 27.67 percent.
Compared with the previous fiscal year, investment decreased by 0.61 percentage points, domestic savings by 0.60 percentage points and national savings by 0.74 percentage points.
Meanwhile, per capita income is estimated to have risen to Tk 368,873 (US$3,020) in FY26 from Tk 334,511 (US$2,769) in FY25.
The increase represents a gain of Tk 34,362, or US$251, in per capita income over the previous fiscal year.
The BBS regularly compiles and publishes statistics on population, agriculture, industry, demographics, the economy, socio-economic conditions, natural resources and the environment, with GDP estimates serving as one of the country's key macroeconomic indicators.